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Probabilistic Transmission System Planning
Transmission system planning is one of the most essential activities in the electric power industry. Billions of dollars are invested in electric utility systems through planning activities every year. In the past and at present, transmission system planning is basically dominated by deterministic criteria and methods. However, there are a considerable number of uncertain factors in transmission systems, and therefore probabilistic methods will provide planning solutions closer to reality. Fragmentary papers for probabilistic transmission planning have been published so far, but there has not been a book to systematically discuss the subject. The intent of this book is to fill the gap. It is important to appreciate that the purpose of introducing probabilistic models and techniques into transmission planning is not replace but enhance the existing deterministic criteria.rnAll basic aspects in transmission planningare covered, including load forecast and load modeling, conventional and special system analysis techniques, reliability evaluation, economic assessment, and data preparation and uncertainties, as well as various actual planning issues. The probabilistic concept is a main thread throughout the book and touches each chapter. It should be emphasized that probabilistic transmission planning is far beyond reliability evaluation, although the latter is one of most important procedures toward this direction. Materials in both theory and actual applications are offered. The examples in the applications are all based on real projects that have been implemented.rnTransmission planning is one of the most essential activities in the electric power industry, with billions of dollars invested in transmission systems by electric utility companies and governments every year. In the United States alone, the Obama Administration's energy plan is spending about four billion dollars in smart grids and transmission infrastructures.rnSystematically discussing probabilistic transmission planning and its applications that make systems smarter, Probabilistic Transmission System Planning addresses the concepts, models, methods, data, and various actual issues in probabilistic transmission planning. The probabilistic concept is a main thread throghout the book and touches each chapter. The applied examples are all based on real projects that have been implemented in the utility industry.rnAll basic aspects in transmission planning are covered, including:rn• Load forecast and load modelingrn• Conventional and special system analysis techniquesrn• Reliability evaluationrn• Economic assessmentrn• Data preparationrn• Fuzzy techniques for data uncertaintyrn• Network reinforcement planningrn• Retairement planning of network componentsrn• Substation planningrn• Single circuit supply system planningrnMajor blackout events in power systems in recent years indicate that deterministic methods are not good enough. With probabilistic methods providing planning solutions closer to reality, Probabilistic Transmission System Planning presents practicing engineers, researchers, professors, and graduates in the power system field with the latest ideas and methods for enhancing transmission systems.
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