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The impact of ambitious fuel economy standards on the market uptake of electric vehicles and specific CO2 emissions

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Fuel economy regulation is a powerful instrument to reduce CO2 emissions of vehicles. CO2 emissions from
transport have to be dramatically reduced to reach ambitious CO2 targets, but fuel economy standards below 75
gCO2/km (72.8 MPG) cannot be reached with combustion engine vehicles but require plug-in electric vehicles
(PEVs). However, the specific relationship between stringent fuel economy standards and PEV market share is
unclear. Here, we analyse CO2 fleet targets in Europe where Regulation (EU) 2019/631 sets a target of 59.4
gCO2/km (90.9 MPG) in 2030. We use data of 3.2 million records with model-specific car sales in Europe from
2010 to 2016 to project future sales and CO2 emissions of all major vehicle manufacturers. We analyse the
required PEV sales for these manufacturers to fulfill the CO2 targets and compare them to the manufacturers’
announced sales targets. Our results demonstrate that regulation’s target leads to PEV sales shares between 27
and 41% in 2030. The lower value is required if all manufacturers only sell BEV and the upper if only PHEV. In
conclusion, ambitious CO2 fleet regulation leads to fast market diffusion of PEVs, but the current regulation is
less ambitious than car maker targets in 2025.

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Ketersediaan

EJ20159

My Library

Tersedia

Informasi Detil

Judul Seri

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No. Panggil

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Penerbit

Elsevier Ltd. : ., 2019

Deskripsi Fisik

7 p.

Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

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Klasifikasi

NONE

Tipe Isi

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Tipe Media

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Tipe Pembawa

online resource

Edisi

Energy Policy 135 (2019) 111006

Subyek

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Info Detil Spesifik

Ejurnal

Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

Komentar

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